Objectives: To develop an acute kidney injury risk prediction model using electronic health record data for longitudinal use in hospitalized patients. Design: Observational cohort study. Setting: Tertiary, urban, academic medical center from November 2008 to January 2016. Patients: All adult inpatients without pre-existing renal failure at admission, defined as first serum creatinine greater than or equal to 3.0 mg/dL, International Classification of Diseases, 9th Edition, code for chronic kidney disease stage 4 or higher or having received renal replacement therapy within 48 hours of first serum creatinine measurement. Interventions: None. Measurements and Main Results: Demographics, vital signs, diagnostics, and interventions were used in a Gradient Boosting Machine algorithm to predict serum creatinine–based Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes stage 2 acute kidney injury, with 60% of the data used for derivation and 40% for validation. Area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated in the validation cohort, and subgroup analyses were conducted across admission serum creatinine, acute kidney injury severity, and hospital location. Among the 121,158 included patients, 17,482 (14.4%) developed any Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes acute kidney injury, with 4,251 (3.5%) developing stage 2. The AUC (95% CI) was 0.90 (0.90–0.90) for predicting stage 2 acute kidney injury within 24 hours and 0.87 (0.87–0.87) within 48 hours. The AUC was 0.96 (0.96–0.96) for receipt of renal replacement therapy (n = 821) in the next 48 hours. Accuracy was similar across hospital settings (ICU, wards, and emergency department) and admitting serum creatinine groupings. At a probability threshold of greater than or equal to 0.022, the algorithm had a sensitivity of 84% and a specificity of 85% for stage 2 acute kidney injury and predicted the development of stage 2 a median of 41 hours (interquartile range, 12–141 hr) prior to the development of stage 2 acute kidney injury. Conclusions: Readily available electronic health record data can be used to predict impending acute kidney injury prior to changes in serum creatinine with excellent accuracy across different patient locations and admission serum creatinine. Real-time use of this model would allow early interventions for those at high risk of acute kidney injury.
from Emergency Medicine via xlomafota13 on Inoreader https://ift.tt/2LUsiZ1
Εγγραφή σε:
Σχόλια ανάρτησης (Atom)
Δημοφιλείς αναρτήσεις
-
Big dreams to improve EMS with a windfall of funding for safety, health and wellness, research and leadership development from EMS via xlo...
-
Objectives: To compare physicians’ perceptions and practice of end-of-life care in the ICU in three East Asian countries cultures similarly ...
-
Publication date: Available online 1 June 2016 Source: The Journal of Emergency Medicine Author(s): Brit Long, Alex Koyfman BackgroundTra...
-
Objectives: Alveolar macrophage polarization and role on alveolar repair during human acute respiratory distress syndrome remain unclear. Th...
-
Abstract Background Angiogenesis is an indispensable step in the growth and invasiveness of breast cancers involving a series of exquisi...
-
In Finland, calls for emergency medical services are prioritized by educated non-medical personnel into four categories—from A (highest risk...
Δεν υπάρχουν σχόλια:
Δημοσίευση σχολίου